Mr. Self Destruct and Missing the Point

So.....here we go.

Football stats are shit. They always have been, they always will be. I am a software engineer who works in the simulation industry, so that is where I am coming from. Here is the problem with football stats, they can only tell you, marginally at best, what has already happened, which is useless because if you watch the game and look at what happened on each individual play, you would know better about what happened in a game then you would by running and looking at any stat, basic, advanced, cheese wiz, any stat at best lets you get a general feel for what happened numerically.

Hey, hate to break it to you stat people, unless your stats start to become predictive in nature, then it is just an exercise in number jerking. You are essentially saying "look at how well Excell can add, subtract, multiply and divide". Ooooooooo, how fancy for you. Big fucking deal. Unless stats are helping you create a model that helps you predict what a team will do, or be able to do, then you might as well go back to typing 80085 into your calculators, because all you have done is miss the fucking point. Football is a complicated system filled with an enormous number of variables per play per position that trying to generalize any of that into a very small set of numbers(even advanced stats fail to cover the full breadth and scope of any one single thing that it tries to interpret. Sorry, if you want to know what is going on, you have to watch the game, multiple times. If you use stats to make your arguments, then you are no better then any moron on ESPN or NFLN who simply looks at the box score and makes idiotic statements that are not based in reality.

And doing that is hard, very very hard *and that is indeed what she said*. I have only begun to gain any competency in it as a skill, but it is the only way to know what is going on and have that deeper understanding. People who are great at it tend to be compensated very well for it. Every week I try to watch the previous 2-3 games of the Broncos opponents, as well as the Broncos themselves from the previous week, along with all of the press conferences by the Broncos coaches. I am willing to put in the time and effort so I can speak intelligently about what is going on. I do not look at box scores, I do not look at game summaries, I look at what happened. Not perfect, but I make the effort.

By focusing on the small, individual stats, you miss the greater picture. To quote Bruce Lee: "Don't think, FEEL. Its like a finger pointing to the moon. If you concentrate on the finger you will miss all that heavenly glory." There is flow to every single motion that occurs by every player on the field on each play, and what one does has a direct impact on what happens with other players. So....how does 15/25 account for any of that? It doesn't.

I am just so sick and tired of stats people using stats to inflate their ego's and sense of intelligence. How can you even have a conversation with someone who is so steadfast that their stats tell a deeper picture that they miss what happens on the field.

I will use a Tim Tebow example. Against the Patriots, on his fumble, Ryan Clady didn't block anybody, the running back didn't block anybody, and Tebow was unable to get it out quick enough to avoid the bad play. So where are the stats that tell that whole sequence of events? None, all you get are "Tebow fumbled the ball". Nevermind Ryan "Holding" Clady's inability to do ANYTHING on that play, or the running back's failure to do ANYTHING in protection, yup lets look at the end result of the play and clap our flipper hands and spout idiotic drivel.

Myopia

A statistically average QB would do statistically below average with

A WR corp that
* Doesn't get separation
* Has far too many drops
* Doesn't run routes at the right depth to get 1st Downs (I am looking at you Eddie)
* Doesn't stretch the field

The running game would also be greatly affected because
* The numerical advantage it currently enjoys would disappear without a running threat QB
* The Defense would only have to key on and rush on runner in the game.
* The running lanes that McGahee is currently enjoying would be much smaller

The O-Line's deficiencies would also be further exposed because
* The ability to gameplan for a traditional offense means they are able to play instinct football.
* LB's no longer have to spy/be assigned to a particular player because there is no dual threat.

The league average Quarterback would also have more sacks per game and more interceptions per game.

The offense as an entire unit needs to improve. Saying that a "league average quarterback" would do league average work with the current talent on offense is short sighted and myopic.

And lets look at the "more points offense" that Denver ran with the "below average quarterback"

Week 1: Denver vs Oakland: 24 - 20 L
272 Net Yards Passing 1 Passing TD, 1 Int
38 Net Yards Rushing 0 TD's
4 fumbles, 2 lost
Third Down Efficiency 6/13 - 46%
ST: Punt return for a touchdown.
Offense total points scored: 13

Week 2: Bengles vs Broncos 24 - 22 W
187 Net yards passing 2 Passing TD's 0 Ints
131 Net Rushing Yards, 1 TD
2 Fumbles, 2 Lost
Third Down Efficiency 5/12 - 41%
Offense total points scored: 24

Week 3: Broncos vs Titans 14 - 17 L
Net Yards Passing 172 2 Passing TD's, 2 Ints
Net Yards Rushing 59 0 TD's
0 Fumbles
Third Down Efficiency 8/15 - 53%
Offense total points scored: 14

Week 4 Broncos vs Packers 49 - 23 L
Net Yards Passing 265, 3 TDs, 3 Ints
Net Yards Rushing 119 0 TD's
1 Fumble, 1 Lost
Third Down Efficiency 4/11 - 36%
Offense total points scored: 23
Third Down Efficiency 4/11 - 36%

So, by MY count, the Broncos were scoring: 13, 24, 14, 23 for an average of: 18.5 points per game! OOoooooo what an offensive juggernaut Tebow crashed and burned.

But I know I know, I don't read too good because of my residency in a zombie village.

*hangs self from sheer myopia*

--Your gonna carry that weight

.
.	Name	G	Att	Comp	Pct	Att/G	Yds	Avg	Yds/G	TD	TD%	Int	Int%	Rushing Yards	Average	Rushing TD's	Fumbles	Sck	Rate	Total Yards	Total Scores	Total Giveaways
.	Alex Smith	9	165	84	50.9	18.3	875	5.3	97.2	1	0.6	11	6.7	103	3.3	0	2	29	40.8	978	1	13
.	Alex Smith	16	442	257	58.1	27.6	2890	6.5	180.6	16	3.6	16	3.6	147	2.8	2	4	35	74.8	3037	18	20
.	Alex Smith	7	193	94	48.7	27.6	914	4.7	130.6	2	1	4	2.1	89	1.9	0	0	17	57.2	1003	2	4
.
.	Vince Young	5	357	184	51.5	23.8	2199	6.2	146.6	12	3.4	13	3.6	552	6.7	7	6	25	66.7	2751	19	19
.	Vince Young	15	382	238	62.3	25.5	2546	6.7	169.7	9	2.4	17	4.5	395	4.2	3	5	25	71.1	2941	12	22
.	Vince Young	3	36	22	61.1	12	219	6.1	73	1	2.8	2	5.6	27	3.4	0		3	64.5	246	1	2
.
.	Matt Leinart	12	377	214	56.8	31.4	2547	6.8	212.2	11	2.9	12	3.2	49	1.8	2	4	21	74	2596	13	16
.	Matt Leinart	5	112	60	53.6	22.4	647	5.8	129.4	2	1.8	4	3.6	42	2.2	0	0	4	61.9	689	2	4
.	Matt Leinart	4	29	15	51.7	7.2	264	9.1	66	1	3.4	1	3.4	5	1	0	0	2	80.2	269	1	1
.
.	Matt Ryan	16	434	265	61.1	27.1	3440	7.9	215	16	3.7	11	2.5	104	3.4	1	4	17	87.7	3544	17	15
.	Matt Ryan	14	451	263	58.3	32.2	2916	6.5	208.3	22	4.9	14	3.1	49	2.1	1	0	19	80.9	2965	23	14
.	Matt Ryan	16	571	357	62.5	35.7	3705	6.5	231.6	28	4.9	9	1.6	122	2.9	0	1	23	91	3827	28	10
.
.	Joe Flacco	16	428	257	60	26.8	2971	6.9	185.7	14	3.3	12	2.8	180	3.5	2	5	32	80.3	3151	16	17
.	Joe Flacco	16	499	315	63.1	31.2	3613	7.2	225.8	21	4.2	12	2.4	56	1.6	0	2	36	88.9	3669	21	14
.	Joe Flacco	16	489	306	62.6	30.6	3622	7.4	226.4	25	5.1	10	2	84	2	1	2	40	93.6	3706	26	12
.
.	Matthew Stafford	10	377	201	53.3	37.7	2267	6	226.7	13	3.4	20	5.3	108	5.4	2	0	24	61	2375	15	20
.	Matthew Stafford	3	96	57	59.4	32	535	5.6	178.3	6	6.3	1	1	11	2.8	1	1	4	91.3	546	7	2
.	Matthew Stafford	9	362	216	59.7	40.2	2508	6.9	278.7	20	5.5	8	2.2	31	3.4	0	1	18	89.9	2539	20	9
.
.	Mark Sanchez	15	364	196	53.8	24.3	2444	6.7	162.9	12	3.3	20	5.5	106	2.9	3	2	26	63	2550	15	22
.	Mark Sanchez	16	507	278	54.8	31.7	3291	6.5	205.7	17	3.4	13	2.6	105	3.5	3	4	27	75.3	3396	20	17
.	Mark Sanchez	10	338	193	57.1	33.8	2333	6.9	233.3	14	4.1	10	3	75	3.3	3	4	25	79.9	2408	17	14
.
.	Josh Freeman	10	290	158	54.5	29	1855	6.4	185.5	10	3.4	18	6.2	161	5.4	0	4	20	59.8	2016	10	22
.	Josh Freeman	16	474	291	61.4	29.6	3451	7.3	215.7	25	5.3	6	1.3	364	5.4	0	2	28	95.9	3815	25	8
.	Josh Freeman	9	340	208	61.2	37.8	2174	6.4	241.6	9	2.6	13	3.8	142	4.2	2	0	14	72.6	2316	11	13
.
.	Sam Bradford	16	590	354	60	36.9	3512	6	219.5	18	3.1	15	2.5	63	2.3	1	1	34	76.5	3575	19	16
.	Sam Bradford	7	257	142	55.3	36.7	1587	6.2	226.7	4	1.6	4	1.6	27	1.9	0		26	72.6	1614	4	4
.
.	Tim Tebow	9	82	41	50	9.1	654	8	72.7	5	6.1	3	3.7	227	5.3	6	1	6	82.1	881	11	4
.	Tim Tebow	8	125	56	44.8	15.6	709	5.7	88.6	7	5.6	1	0.8	388	6.9	3	2	15	78.4	1097	10	3
.
.	Cam Newton	9	327	197	60.2	36.3	2605	8	289.4	11	3.4	10	3.1	374	5.3	7	2	22	84	2979	18	12
.
.	Blaine Gabbert	8	194	93	47.9	24.2	1025	5.3	128.1	6	3.1	5	2.6	65	2.2	0	6	21	63.6	1090	6	11
.
.	Christian Ponder	4	111	56	50.5	27.8	744	6.7	186	3	2.7	3	2.7	60	5.5	0	1	9	69.8	804	3	4
.
.	Andy Dalton	9	287	173	60.3	31.9	1866	6.5	207.3	14	4.9	9	3.1	26	2	1	0	12	82.6	1892	15	9

The Egg and I: History Of Recent 1st Round QB's, By the Numbers

So, I am going to leave analysis to the smarter people. If I am feeling super annoyed by something, I will write it up here, but I present to you....a CHART! These stats are all from NFL.com, and the number of games is representative of total games played in, not started.

Year 1

Name/Games Round Picked/YR Att. Comp. Comp. % Yards TD's Int's YPA Rate

Alex Smith(9) * 1/1/2005/SF 165 84 50.9 875 1 11 5.3 40.8

Aaron Rodgers(3) * 1/24/2005/GB 16 9 56.3 65 0 1 4.1 39.8

Jason Campbell * 1/25/2005/WAS - - - - - - - -

Vince Young(15) * 1/3/2006/TEN 357 184 51.5 2199 12 13 6.2 66.7

Matt Leinart(12) * 1/10/2006/AZ 377 214 56.8 2547 11 12 6.8 74.0

Jay Cutler(5) * 1/11/2006/DEN 137 81 59.1 1001 9 5 7.3 88.5

JaMarcus Russel(4) * 1/1/2007/OAK 66 36 54.5 373 2 4 5.7 55.9

Brady Quinn(1) * 1/22/2007/CLE 8 3 37.5 45 0 0 5.6 56.8

Matt Ryan(16) * 1/3/2008/ATL 434 265 61.1 3440 16 11 7.9 87.7

Joe Flacco(16) * 1/18/2008/BAL 428 257 60.0 2917 14 12 6.9 80.3

Matthew Stafford(10) * 1/1/2009/Det 377 201 53.3 2267 13 20 6.0 61.0

Mark Sanchez(15) * 1/5/2009/NYJ 364 196 53.8 2444 12 20 6.7 63.0

Josh Freeman(10) * 1/17/2009/TB 290 158 54.5 1855 10 18 6.4 59.8

Sam Bradford(16) * 1/1/2010/STL 590 354 60.0 3512 18 15 6.0 76.5

Tim Tebow(9) * 1/25/2010/DEN 82 41 50.0 654 5 3 8.0 82.1

Cam Newton(9) * 1/1/2011/CAR 327 197 60.2 2605 11 10 8.0 84.0

Blaine Gabbert(8) * 1/10/2011/JAX 194 93 47.9 1025 6 5 5.3 63.6

Christian Ponder(4) * 1/12/2011/MIN 111 56 50.5 744 3 3 6.7 69.8

Andy Dalton(9) * 2/3/2011/CIN 287 173 60.3 1866 14 9 6.5 82.6

Year 2

Name Round Picked/YR Att. Comp. Comp. % Yards TD's Int's YPA Rate

Alex Smith(16) * 1/1/2005/SF 442 257 58.1 2,890 16 16 6.5 74.8

Aaron Rodgers(2) * 1/24/2005/GB 15 6 40.0 46 0 0 3.1 48.2

Jason Campbell(7) * 1/25/2005/WAS 207 110 53.1 1297 10 6 6.3 76.5

Vince Young(15) * 1/3/2006/TEN 382 238 62.3 2546 9 17 6.7 71.1

Matt Leinart(5) * 1/10/2006/AZ 112 60 53.6 647 2 4 5.8 61.9

Jay Cutler(16) * 1/11/2006/DEN 467 297 63.6 3497 20 14 7.5 88.1

JaMarcus Russel(15)* 1/1/2007/OAK 198 368 53.8 2423 13 8 6.6 77.1

Brady Quinn(3) * 1/22/2007/CLE 89 45 50.6 518 2 2 5.8 66.6

Matt Ryan(14) * 1/3/2008/ATL 451 263 58.3 2916 22 14 6.5 80.9

Joe Flacco(16) * 1/18/2008/BAL 499 315 63.1 3613 21 12 7.2 88.9

Matthew Stafford(3) * 1/1/2009/Det 96 57 59.4 535 6 1 5.6 91.3

Mark Sanchez(16) * 1/5/2009/NYJ 507 278 54.8 3291 17 13 6.5 75.3

Josh Freeman(16) * 1/17/2009/TB 474 291 61.4 3451 25 6 7.3 95.9

Sam Bradford (7) * 1/1/2010/STL 257 142 55.3 1587 4 4 6.2 72.6

Tim Tebow(8) * 1/25/2010/DEN 125 56 44.8 709 7 1 5.7 78.4

Year 3

Name Round Picked/YR Att. Comp. Comp. % Yards TD's Int's YPA Rate

Alex Smith(7) * 1/1/2005/SF 193 94 48.7 914 2 4 4.7 57.2

Aaron Rodgers(2) * 1/24/2005/GB 28 20 71.4 109 1 0 7.8 106

Jason Campbell(16) * 1/25/2005/WAS 506 315 62.3 3245 13 6 6.4 84.3

Vince Young(3) * 1/3/2006/TEN 36 22 61.1 219 1 2 6.1 64.5

Matt Leinart(4) * 1/10/2006/AZ 29 15 51.7 264 1 1 9.1 80.2

Jay Cutler(16) * 1/11/2006/DEN 616 384 62.3 4526 25 18 7.3 86.0

JaMarcus Russel(12)* 1/1/2007/OAK 246 120 48.8 1287 3 11 5.2 50.0

Brady Quinn(10) * 1/22/2007/CLE 256 136 53.1 1339 8 7 5.2 67.2

Matt Ryan(16) * 1/3/2008/ATL 571 357 62.5 3705 28 9 6.5 91.0

Joe Flacco(16) * 1/18/2008/BAL 489 306 62.6 3622 25 10 7.4 93.6

Matthew Stafford(9) * 1/1/2009/Det 362 216 59.7 2508 20 8 6.9 89.9

Mark Sanchez(10) * 1/5/2009/NYJ 338 193 57.1 2333 14 10 6.9 79.9

Josh Freeman(9) * 1/17/2009/TB 340 208 61.2 2174 9 13 6.4 72.6

So...take what you will from all of this, but it certaintly provides numerical context, but not game context. Tebow is certainty not the worst Young QB that has played though....

--Diggin My Potato

The Grand Unification Theory of Tebow

So, this is more or less what I posted at IAOFM today, and is being saved here for all of history because...well I liked it....I personally don't see much humor in X > Y (in this case, X > Tebow), but alas I went this route....

For this math to work you have to assume either

a) The value of Tebow will remain a constant
b) The value of Tebow will never cross a certain threshold.

I mean you could also look at it that the value of Tebow is like some universal constant, like the Speed of Light or the ratio of Unicorns to Leprechauns, but that is a dangerous assumption. I mean if someone were to develop the General Theory of Tebow it is entirely possible that it will run into even more problems then String Theory.

And what if the value of Tebow isn’t a universal constant? How does the value of Tebow react when viewed at the quantum level?

Does the act of observing a Tebow affect the outcome? Can two Tebows interact and affect each other across great distances without ever interacting?

And even more fundamental….what is a unit of Tebow? What is its value?

What happens if you smash two Tebows together at near the speed of light? What are the constituent pieces of a Tebow?

Does a Tebow operate like a wave or an electron or both?

The big problem of determing the value of a Tebow is that first you need to be able to account for all factors that go into determining the composition of a Tebow. The other problem is the “gamer” quality that really makes pure scientific analysis hard(that’s what she said) because as it turns out, a unit of Tebow is not a universal constant, and it is indeed dependent on external influences that affect the results of your measurements.

As we all saw during TC this year, the value of a Tebow in practice != value of a Tebow in game. Hell, the value of a Tebow in game isn’t even a consistent variable!!! A 4th Quarter Tebow can be > 3rd Quarter Tebow, but that equation is not a constant either!

That is why I purpose the following plan of action, we invade one of our many parallel universes (Fringe style baby) and steal their Tebow. We then go to the LHC and accelerate the two separate Tebows to near the speed of light and see what their collisions produce. I mean, we need to get some very clear measurements on the composition of a Tebow before we can start making definitive statements about the value of a Tebow.

Then we run into the problem of determing the relation of the value of Tebow’s constituent elements in comparison to each other. I mean, how do you determine the value of intangibles vs Jockey Briefs? Sticking with the string theory analogy (as we are trying to do develop a Grand Unification Theory of Tebow), I hereby purpose that each individual element of a Tebow is in fact made up of tiny, vibrating Tebows, as such a Tebow is a collection of Tebows(or possibly a collection of Tebows could just be a 2D plane of Tebows….but that gets confusing….).

Once we isolate all of the individual elements of a Tebow, then we can start to determine their value in relation to the other elements of Tebow(somebody make a Periodic Table of the Tebows). Once we understand all of the interactions inherent in a Tebow action, then we can look at some of the other variables you mentioned.

Heck, the more I think about it, The Grand Unification Theory of Tebow is more ambitious then anything else this world has seen, because to determine the equations and values of things like media scuzz cycle, we need to quantifiable determine the value of a Peter King, and how he interacts!

I could be thinking crazy here, but perhaps all matter is made up of Tebows! If that were the case, we could then determine that the all of us are made of Tebow….oh my god….that means…

X > Tebow is a mathematical fallacy because if everything is made of Tebows, then Tebow > Tebow is a logical failure! The only thing that makes any logical sense is that X = Tebow! The only difference between all matter in the universe is the vibration of the faiths of the individual Tebows! Crap! what does the individual shape of a Tebow look like? How many additional dimensions does this new Theory require to make sense? How does it affect gravity?

AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!

-- Jammin with Edward

Bad Dog No Biscuits: Kyle Orton gets his nose wacked with the newspaper

Title aside, this post will be about something called the Denver Broncos. Just watched the game twice thanks to the magic of NFL Rewinds new compressed feature (game in ~30 mins, the magic never ends!). This is just going to be a brain dump, and we will see where we get.

• Lets start with the big news of the game, the defense! I kid, but seriously, after watching the game I have some ideas that I just want to get out there and see how they stick.
• Joe Mays. I love the guy. Anybody who hits as hard as he does certaintly gets love from me and I want to find a way to utilize his skillset. The past two weeks however, he seemingly hasn't been doing as well as he had been against the run, and I think I figured out why. He has not, as of yet, exhibited range in the East/West range. Previously the D-Line was playing better, which allowed Mays to lock on and launch himself like a bowling ball. What I saw from yesterday's game was him trying to make a solo TFL without any help from the D-Line(meaning they weren't getting any push and Mays just came through the hole). Problem is that when this happened Ryan Matthews was able to juke or make a move, making Mays miss. I don't know if this is something that is correctable in his game (I will leave the smarter football minds to decide this)
• D.J. Williams....can you do anything right? Can you take a good angle to get a TFL? Nope. Can you cover? Nope. I guess you can make a ton of money and make lots of tackles after the play has gained waaay too many yards. At least Wesley Woodyard could make things happen.
• Secondary. Its about what you would expect with that many young players. They are going to make mistakes, misdiagnose the play (see long TD to Floyd at the end of the 2nd half). Goodman apparently can't cover or tackle well, Vaughn is showing why he was a UDFA, Carter and Moore made plenty of rookie mistakes, all of that added up to missed opportunities. Not to say I don't have confidence in these players growing, but this is the kind of growing pains to be expected. Vaughn did have that awesome Pick 6, but opposing QB's are always going to target him and Goodman. CB must be a point of emphasis in the draft, along with DT.
• So...anyone figured out what is up with Doom? My first guess would be that he isn't fully healthy yet. Hopefully that is what is happening with him. With the number of additional defenders being thrown Von's way, there should have been more opportunities for Doom to make a bigger impact. Hopefully after the bye he will prove why he is getting that big paycheck.
• One thing that Brian Griese mentioned during the game and it kept showing up was the way to beat the edge rushers for the Broncos. Take a deep drop and then step up into the pocket and most of the time that pushed the rushers to the other side, removing the threat. This is a problem due to the lack of penetration by the DT and NT. Maybe blitz somebody up the middle on a delayed blitz?
• In the end, I think the defense acquitted it self fairly well given how much time they were on the field.
• Offense...well what is there to say about the offense....well a lot actually!
• The wide receivers....what the hell happened? Nobody was catching anything, nobody was getting open or getting any separation, I just don't know what happened. Well, I have some theories, so lets see what sticks to the wall.
• The first is something I am going to blame on the play calling. Why the hell are the receivers going to the sticks, turning around and just waiting for the ball? Why wasn't McCoy trying to push the ball down the field? Part of this is related to Kyle Orton, but I will get to that shortly.
• Well, I was going to save it for last, but the Kyle Orton issue seemingly comes back to the crux of what has happened over the past 5 weeks. I know Doug Lee at IAOFM disagrees with me on this point, but from what I have seen, Orton's only success has been from run sets, which puts the base defense on the field. At its best it has allowed the Broncos to run the PA game with a Max Protect set, with either 1 or 2 receivers running deep with an outlet receiver. But for whatever reason Kyle is not going for the deep pass this year. There have been some deep passes, but nothing like what we have seen the past 2 years. The short passing game + max protect protection scheme + some poor pass blocking has meant that there is usually 7-8 guys in coverage when there are only 2 receivers running routes. This does not seem like a good thing to me.
• Kyle Orton also seemingly fell in love with Fells (zing!) and the other TE's. The short passing game compressed the defense, and Kyle's poor decision making is part of the story of what has happened to him this year. Did Kyle lose his confidence? Looked that way, and in the end he was his own downfall. As much as I dislike him at QB, I know that he is better than he has played this year. It will be enlightening to find out what happened.
• I just don't know what happened to Orton. His footwork regressed, his decision making regressed, his field vision regressed, and his playmaking ability regressed. And this is in an offense that takes the burden off the QB. The run game has more or less been fairly strong, the defense has kept the team in the game, and the O-Line has more or less improved, but Orton has not capitalized on it.
• Then there was that other QB....Tebow was it? I didn't like the play calling by McCoy to be honest. Last year McCoy felt compelled to only call screen passes in the 1st half against the Texans, but we only got one screen pass yesterday? Interesting....
• On the deep incomplete to Decker, it was obvious on viewing why it didn't get there, Tebow was being chased and was about to get smacked in the face, he threw a jump ball, and it was just off target. I think that McCoy over the next two weeks will be responsible for crafting a good set of plays that will maximize Tebow's passing strengths. Maybe a bootleg....maybe? If Orton can do it I am fairly certain Tebow can. A simplified play book will help Tebow develop, particularly his progressions. One good thing that we saw yesterday was the fact that Tebow indeed did go through at least 2 progressions. His first completion to Decker was his second read. It went Matt Willis on the left, and then Decker on the right.

Well, that is all I have for tonight. Maybe more will come?

--Too good too bad

What EFX should be saying

I believe that the front office should be more honest and forthcoming with the fans.

"We have very passionate fans and appreciate their comments. We understand that the franchise has not lived up to their, and our own internal, expectations for the past few years. While this current staff was not with the team during that time, we understand that fans expect a certain level of quality from the team they are so passionate about. The many changes in Front Office staff, coaching and scheme have created an atmosphere that did not allow a longer term continuity to form.

The staff that is in place now is trying its hardest to right the ship. We ask the fans to have patience with us while we do this. The NFL is a competative league, and while we are in this transitional "reloading" phase we are trying to balance the need to develop young talent and trying to win now.

While the QB position is the one that most fans are focused on, we are constantly evaluating all positions on the roster to try to deliver the best product to our fans. We understand the level of frustration regarding the teams recent woes, but we promise that this team and staff will do everything in it's power to restore this franchise to its winning ways"